Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2008 |
ARM
0 - 0
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 0
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2008 |
AND
3 - 1
DEF
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 1
SUA
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 3
MOR
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 1
TEM
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 may. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 3
SAR
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 may. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 1
MOR
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |