Análisis Def. Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29.1%
Empate
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
46.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 0
DEF
69%
19%
11%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 0
DEF
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
LAM
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 feb. 2012 |
VSC
1 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 2012 |
EST
4 - 2
TEM
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 4
EST
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
SUA
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
EST
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |