Análisis Def. Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
21.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.69
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.2%
30.2%
Empate
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
48.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
18%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
UAI
40%
30%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
BRO
25%
30%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
BAR
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
EST
20%
28%
52%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
RIE
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
ARM
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
EST
22%
27%
50%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |