Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Flandria
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 1
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2013 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 1
FLA
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
EST
23%
31%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 0
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
UAI
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
FLA
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 1
FLA
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 3
ARM
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |