Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Huracán Tres Arroyos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2004 |
TFE
2 - 0
DEF
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
DEF
3 - 3
DYJ
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2004 |
CAU
2 - 2
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
FER
2 - 1
DEF
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 1
JAN
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Partidos
Huracán Tres Arroyos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2004 |
HUR
0 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
JAN
2 - 2
HUR
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2004 |
HUR
1 - 0
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
HUR
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2004 |
HUR
2 - 0
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |