Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
23.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.86
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
48.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
DEF
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
COM
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
STM
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
DEF
39%
31%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
TEM
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHI
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 2
SUA
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |