Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 2
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2004 |
JAN
0 - 0
DEF
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
DEF
3 - 0
RAF
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 3
DEF
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 1
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2004 |
SAR
0 - 2
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 3
SAR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
SAR
2 - 1
CAI
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2004 |
JAN
2 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
SAR
1 - 1
GIM
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |