Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jun. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
DEF
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 may. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
BRO
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
TEM
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
SAR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 1
CCO
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 3
SAR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 2
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |