Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2008 |
COL
0 - 0
DEF
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 2
CHI
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 1
DEF
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 1
DEF
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2008 |
SAR
1 - 1
SUA
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2008 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAR
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2008 |
SAR
1 - 0
TEM
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 1
SAR
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 1
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |