Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Talleres R. Escalada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2005 |
TEM
2 - 1
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
FLA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 2
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 2
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 3
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
Partidos
Talleres R. Escalada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2005 |
TAL
0 - 1
FLA
37%
29%
35%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2005 |
ALB
3 - 2
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 2005 |
TAL
2 - 0
SUA
32%
29%
39%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 ago. 2005 |
LAF
4 - 0
TAL
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 ago. 2005 |
TAL
0 - 3
CCO
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |