Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Talleres R. Escalada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2007 |
EST
2 - 2
DEF
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 2
SAR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
TEM
1 - 1
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 1
DEF
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Talleres R. Escalada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2007 |
TAL
2 - 1
MER
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2007 |
ARM
4 - 0
TAL
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
TAL
0 - 0
STM
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 2
TAL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
TAL
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |