Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Talleres R. Escalada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 0
CCO
60%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
45%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Talleres R. Escalada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2009 |
TAL
0 - 0
SUA
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
TAL
37%
30%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2009 |
TAL
3 - 2
TEM
37%
29%
33%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
TAL
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 0
MOR
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |