Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2000 |
DEF
2 - 2
STM
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2000 |
ARM
2 - 1
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2000 |
DEF
3 - 0
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 ago. 2000 |
CAM
0 - 0
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2000 |
DEF
1 - 1
TEM
29%
27%
43%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2000 |
SUA
1 - 0
ESP
31%
26%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2000 |
STM
1 - 0
SUA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2000 |
SUA
1 - 1
TAL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2000 |
ARM
1 - 0
SUA
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2000 |
SUA
2 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |