Análisis Def. Belgrano vs UAI Urquiza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
37.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.09
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.9%
Empate
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
32.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
34%
30%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 1
FEN
34%
30%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
DEF
50%
29%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
COM
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2014 |
UAI
2 - 0
MOR
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
UAI
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2014 |
UAI
2 - 1
ARM
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
UAI
50%
28%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
UAI
2 - 0
COM
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |