Análisis Def. Belgrano vs UAI Urquiza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.8%
Empate
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
29.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
BRO
25%
30%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 1
FLA
50%
30%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2015 |
UAI
1 - 0
BAR
35%
29%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 0
UAI
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2015 |
UAI
4 - 1
RIE
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
UAI
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2015 |
UAI
1 - 1
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |