Análisis Defensa y Justicia vs Sportivo Desamparados
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
DYJ
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 1
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2012 |
CEN
3 - 2
DYJ
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 1
DYJ
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
DYJ
0 - 2
ALD
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2012 |
DES
1 - 4
RIV
18%
28%
54%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
CHA
40%
30%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 3
DES
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
DES
68%
22%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
ATT
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |