Análisis Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
DYJ
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 1
IRV
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
DYJ
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BUC
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DYJ
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
DES
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MER
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
PAT
43%
30%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
MER
61%
25%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |