Análisis Defensa y Justicia vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 2
DYJ
19%
26%
56%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2014 |
DYJ
5 - 3
BAN
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 1
DYJ
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 2
IRV
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2014 |
ATT
1 - 1
DYJ
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 0
IND
37%
29%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
SAR
34%
32%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 2
SMA
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
SAR
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 0
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |