Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Cerrito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.78
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
BVS
0 - 2
DEF
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
REN
0 - 0
DEF
37%
26%
36%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
MWA
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
CSC
0 - 1
LFC
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 3
CSC
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
CSC
0 - 2
CEN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
DAN
0 - 2
CSC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
TAC
3 - 0
CSC
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |