Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Cerro CA
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
TAC
71%
18%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 3
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
CSC
2 - 0
DEF
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2010 |
CER
5 - 1
LFC
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 0
CER
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2010 |
CER
3 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 1
CER
66%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |