Apertura Uruguay Jor. 15

Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Cerro CA

Defensor Sporting Cerro CA
79 ELO 65
5.5% Tilt -2.6%
321º Ranking ELO general 505º
Ranking ELO país 15º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
71.8%
Defensor Sporting
18.3%
Empate
9.9%
Cerro CA

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.8%
Probabilidad gana
Defensor Sporting
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.9%
Probabilidad gana
Cerro CA
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Defensor Sporting
+9%
-2%
Cerro CA

Progresión del ELO

Defensor Sporting
Cerro CA
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 dic. 2012
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Cerro Largo
CEL
68%
20%
12%
79 68 11 0
24 nov. 2012
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
42%
25%
33%
79 72 7 0
17 nov. 2012
DEF
Defensor Sporting
4 - 0
Bella Vista
BVS
70%
19%
11%
79 65 14 0
10 nov. 2012
FEN
Fénix
1 - 3
Defensor Sporting
DEF
28%
26%
46%
79 66 13 0
04 nov. 2012
PEÑ
Peñarol
2 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
56%
23%
21%
79 81 2 0

Partidos

Cerro CA
Cerro CA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 dic. 2012
CER
Cerro CA
2 - 0
Bella Vista
BVS
46%
26%
27%
65 65 0 0
25 nov. 2012
CER
Cerro CA
0 - 2
Central Español FC
CEN
40%
27%
33%
66 69 3 -1
18 nov. 2012
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 2
Fénix
FEN
49%
26%
25%
66 65 1 0
10 nov. 2012
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
0 - 1
Cerro CA
CER
69%
18%
12%
66 72 6 0
04 nov. 2012
ETS
El Tanque Sisley
2 - 1
Cerro CA
CER
45%
27%
29%
66 64 2 0