Apertura Uruguay Jor. 8

Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Danubio

Defensor Sporting Danubio
80 ELO 68
6.5% Tilt -2.7%
484º Ranking ELO general 499º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
68.3%
Defensor Sporting
19.6%
Empate
12.2%
Danubio

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Defensor Sporting
2.05
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Danubio
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Defensor Sporting
+2%
-9%
Danubio

Progresión del ELO

Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 oct. 2012
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Racing Montevideo
RAC
72%
18%
10%
80 66 14 0
07 oct. 2012
ETS
El Tanque Sisley
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
22%
27%
52%
80 65 15 0
30 sep. 2012
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1
Juventud
JUV
77%
16%
7%
80 64 16 0
23 sep. 2012
PRO
Progreso
1 - 4
Defensor Sporting
DEF
29%
27%
45%
80 68 12 0
15 sep. 2012
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 0
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
58%
23%
20%
80 74 6 0

Partidos

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 oct. 2012
DAN
Danubio
1 - 2
El Tanque Sisley
ETS
61%
22%
17%
70 65 5 0
07 oct. 2012
NAC
Nacional
2 - 1
Danubio
DAN
70%
19%
11%
70 81 11 0
30 sep. 2012
DAN
Danubio
0 - 0
Peñarol
PEÑ
25%
23%
52%
70 81 11 0
23 sep. 2012
JUV
Juventud
0 - 0
Danubio
DAN
41%
26%
33%
70 64 6 0
16 sep. 2012
DAN
Danubio
2 - 4
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
50%
24%
26%
71 70 1 -1