Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Colonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
DEF
3 - 1
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 2
RIV
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2004 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 0
PLA
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
PAY
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2005 |
COL
0 - 3
PEÑ
28%
25%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
MWA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
COL
27%
24%
48%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2003 |
COL
5 - 1
CSY
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |