Copa Libertadores Grupo G Jor. 4

Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Chivas Guadalajara

Defensor Sporting Chivas Guadalajara
78 ELO 81
4.7% Tilt -3%
475º Ranking ELO general 349º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
47.4%
Defensor Sporting
25.5%
Empate
27.1%
Chivas Guadalajara

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Defensor Sporting
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Chivas Guadalajara
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Defensor Sporting
+1%
-10%
Chivas Guadalajara

Progresión del ELO

Defensor Sporting
Chivas Guadalajara
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 mar. 2012
FEN
Fénix
0 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
32%
27%
41%
78 68 10 0
13 mar. 2012
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
49%
26%
25%
79 81 2 -1
04 mar. 2012
CSC
Cerrito
0 - 2
Defensor Sporting
DEF
33%
27%
40%
79 70 9 0
26 feb. 2012
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 2
Nacional
NAC
41%
26%
33%
78 83 5 +1
19 feb. 2012
JUN
Rampla Juniors
0 - 2
Defensor Sporting
DEF
25%
27%
49%
77 64 13 +1

Partidos

Chivas Guadalajara
Chivas Guadalajara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 mar. 2012
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
43%
27%
30%
81 82 1 0
18 mar. 2012
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
34%
27%
39%
81 72 9 0
13 mar. 2012
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
49%
26%
25%
81 79 2 0
11 mar. 2012
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
2 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
38%
27%
35%
81 84 3 0
04 mar. 2012
PUE
Puebla
1 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
46%
27%
28%
80 78 2 +1