Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+38%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2006 |
CSM
1 - 4
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2006 |
DEF
4 - 2
JUN
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2006 |
REN
0 - 1
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
DEF
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2006 |
LFC
0 - 4
NAC
38%
24%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAC
29%
25%
45%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2006 |
NAC
4 - 0
ROC
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |