Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 3
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAU
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
RIV
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |