Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
TAC
71%
18%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 3
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
CSC
2 - 0
DEF
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUN
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
FEN
3 - 0
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 2
PEÑ
22%
24%
55%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 2
PEÑ
19%
23%
57%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 3
PEÑ
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
LFC
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |