Uruguay - Final de Campeones Final

Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol

Defensor Sporting Peñarol
80 ELO 83
0.4% Tilt -8.6%
482º Ranking ELO general 480º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
38%
Defensor Sporting
24.5%
Empate
37.5%
Peñarol

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
38%
Probabilidad gana
Defensor Sporting
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.5%
Probabilidad gana
Peñarol
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Defensor Sporting
-1%
+8%
Peñarol

Progresión del ELO

Defensor Sporting
Peñarol
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 jun. 2013
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
21%
26%
52%
81 66 15 0
26 may. 2013
CEL
Cerro Largo
0 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
26%
27%
48%
81 68 13 0
18 may. 2013
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 2
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
53%
24%
23%
81 75 6 0
12 may. 2013
BVS
Bella Vista
0 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
17%
26%
57%
81 62 19 0
04 may. 2013
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 0
Fénix
FEN
71%
19%
10%
81 67 14 0

Partidos

Peñarol
Peñarol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 jun. 2013
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
0 - 4
Peñarol
PEÑ
24%
24%
52%
83 70 13 0
26 may. 2013
JUV
Juventud
1 - 5
Peñarol
PEÑ
16%
21%
63%
83 67 16 0
19 may. 2013
PEÑ
Peñarol
0 - 0
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
63%
21%
16%
83 71 12 0
11 may. 2013
PEÑ
Peñarol
1 - 0
Progreso
PRO
76%
17%
8%
83 63 20 0
05 may. 2013
NAC
Nacional
0 - 3
Peñarol
PEÑ
47%
23%
30%
83 83 0 0