Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Progreso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
TAC
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAN
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
DEF
34%
28%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 0
DEF
30%
28%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 4
FEN
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
CEN
3 - 0
PRO
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 0
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |