Copa Uruguay Semifinal

Global 4-2

Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Progreso

Defensor Sporting Progreso
76 ELO 69
4.4% Tilt -10%
486º Ranking ELO general 502º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
59%
Defensor Sporting
22.2%
Empate
18.8%
Progreso

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Defensor Sporting
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.7%
Win probability
Progreso
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Defensor Sporting
+5%
-7%
Progreso

Progresión del ELO

Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 oct. 2022
PRO
Progreso
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
36%
26%
38%
75 70 5 0
22 oct. 2022
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 3
Rentistas
REN
73%
18%
9%
76 59 17 -1
15 oct. 2022
DEP
Deportivo Maldonado
0 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
33%
28%
38%
76 71 5 0
13 oct. 2022
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1
Danubio
DAN
56%
25%
19%
76 72 4 0
09 oct. 2022
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
59%
23%
18%
76 82 6 0

Partidos

Progreso
Progreso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 oct. 2022
PRO
Progreso
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
36%
26%
38%
70 75 5 0
05 oct. 2022
TOR
Montevideo City Torque
1 - 2
Progreso
PRO
56%
23%
21%
69 71 2 +1
25 sep. 2022
CEN
Central Español FC
1 - 1
Progreso
PRO
36%
29%
36%
69 64 5 0
21 sep. 2022
REN
Rentistas
0 - 3
Progreso
PRO
37%
26%
38%
68 63 5 +1
17 sep. 2022
PRO
Progreso
3 - 1
Sud América
SUD
45%
27%
29%
67 64 3 +1