Análisis Def. Unidos vs CA Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-27%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
CBA
2 - 2
CAD
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
CAD
2 - 0
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
BER
3 - 1
CAD
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
CAD
2 - 0
MID
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 2006 |
CAA
2 - 1
CAD
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 2
VIC
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
CES
2 - 2
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 0
UAI
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2006 |
RIE
1 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 2
DPA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |