Análisis Def. Unidos vs Excursionistas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 0
LAF
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2013 |
LUJ
1 - 1
CAD
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 2013 |
CCO
0 - 0
CAD
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -3 |
| 06 sep. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 3
CAD
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2013 |
CAD
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
JJU
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
ARQ
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -5 |
| 31 ago. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 0
EXC
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -3 |
| 27 ago. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
MID
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
EXC
49%
27%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |