Análisis Def. Unidos vs Luján
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 2011 |
SMG
0 - 0
CAD
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 1
SAC
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
JJU
1 - 0
CAD
44%
28%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2011 |
ALE
3 - 0
CAD
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 0
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 2011 |
LUJ
1 - 3
CAM
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
TAL
2 - 1
LUJ
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
LUJ
2 - 1
EXC
27%
30%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
LUJ
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
LUJ
0 - 2
MID
34%
29%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |