Análisis Def. Unidos vs Luján
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
CAD
60%
25%
16%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
JJU
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -3 |
| 17 sep. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
CAD
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Partidos
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
BER
52%
26%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
LUJ
52%
26%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 0
LUJ
53%
27%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 sep. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
RIE
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 sep. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 1
LUJ
63%
23%
14%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |