Análisis Def. Unidos vs UAI Urquiza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2006 |
RIE
0 - 0
CAD
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2006 |
CAD
2 - 0
DPA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 ago. 2006 |
ARQ
0 - 0
CAD
36%
26%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
CAD
0 - 1
JUU
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
Partidos
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2006 |
UAI
2 - 5
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2006 |
CES
1 - 0
UAI
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
UAI
1 - 1
YUP
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
UAI
2 - 0
RIE
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |