Análisis Dep. Español vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2000 |
STM
2 - 1
ESP
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 nov. 2000 |
BER
1 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 1
CAM
69%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2000 |
TEM
3 - 1
ESP
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 2000 |
DEF
0 - 0
TAL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2000 |
COL
0 - 2
DEF
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 nov. 2000 |
DEF
1 - 0
ARQ
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2000 |
BRO
1 - 1
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2000 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAR
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |