Análisis Dep. Español vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 2000 |
ESP
0 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2000 |
ALM
2 - 0
ESP
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 nov. 2000 |
ESP
5 - 2
DEF
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2000 |
STM
2 - 1
ESP
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 nov. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 2000 |
TAL
1 - 1
MER
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2000 |
MER
0 - 2
COL
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 nov. 2000 |
ARQ
0 - 2
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 nov. 2000 |
MER
1 - 1
BRO
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2000 |
SAR
3 - 1
MER
83%
13%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |