Análisis Dep. Español vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 2
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 1
STM
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
BRO
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
SUA
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 1
MER
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2007 |
MER
0 - 0
CAM
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2007 |
AND
2 - 1
MER
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |