Análisis Dep. Español vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2001 |
ARQ
2 - 2
ESP
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 2001 |
STM
1 - 0
ESP
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 2001 |
ESP
3 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2001 |
ALB
1 - 1
ESP
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 1
SMG
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2001 |
MER
0 - 1
MOR
42%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2001 |
MOR
0 - 0
SAR
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2001 |
TEM
0 - 0
MOR
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 ago. 2001 |
FLA
0 - 0
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |