Análisis Dep. Español vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2006 |
SUA
2 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 5
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 abr. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 2
FLA
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2006 |
CCO
1 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 1
TAL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2006 |
EST
0 - 0
MOR
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2006 |
AND
2 - 2
MOR
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 2
ATL
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2006 |
STM
0 - 3
MOR
31%
29%
39%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |