Análisis Dep. Español vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
31.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 1
ESP
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUA
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2007 |
ATL
4 - 0
ESP
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 2
FLA
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
ESP
0 - 0
AND
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUA
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 0
MOR
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 0
FLA
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 2
MOR
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 2
AND
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |