Análisis Dep. Español vs Excursionistas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2014 |
CCO
0 - 3
ESP
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
BER
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
LAM
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
ARM
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
19%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
ITA
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 1
EXC
45%
29%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |