Análisis Dep. Español vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 0
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 2005 |
AND
3 - 3
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2005 |
ESP
0 - 3
ARM
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2005 |
SAR
1 - 2
PLA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2005 |
CAM
2 - 3
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2005 |
SAR
0 - 1
ATL
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2005 |
BRO
2 - 1
SAR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2005 |
SAR
3 - 1
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |