Análisis Espoli vs Manta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 0
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
BQD
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2007 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
ESP
5 - 2
LDU
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2007 |
UCE
0 - 1
ESP
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 4
AUC
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 2
DEL
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
TEC
5 - 0
MAN
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
BQD
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2007 |
LOJ
2 - 3
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |