Análisis Laferrere vs Def. Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+66%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
LAF
27%
30%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2011 |
LAF
1 - 2
TAL
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAF
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2011 |
LAF
0 - 0
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 1
LAF
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
UAI
1 - 0
CAD
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 0
DAL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 ago. 2011 |
BER
2 - 1
CAD
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 1
LAF
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |