Análisis Deportivo Merlo vs Rosario Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.7%
Empate
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ALD
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
RIV
23%
30%
47%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
QUI
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2011 |
IRV
2 - 0
CEN
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
ALM
55%
28%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
CEN
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 2
GBR
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |