Análisis Deportivo Merlo vs Chacarita Juniors
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
30.5%
Empate
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
26.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CEN
29%
30%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ALD
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 3
QUI
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 1
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALM
43%
31%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 0
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |