Análisis Deportivo Merlo vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 2000 |
STM
1 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2000 |
MER
1 - 1
ARM
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2000 |
BER
2 - 2
MER
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2000 |
MER
0 - 3
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2000 |
MER
2 - 0
ESP
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +3 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 2000 |
DEF
3 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2000 |
DEF
0 - 0
SUA
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2000 |
DEF
2 - 2
STM
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 sep. 2000 |
ARM
2 - 1
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |