Análisis Deportivo Merlo vs Defensa y Justicia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.9%
Empate
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
37.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 1
MER
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CHA
43%
31%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CEN
29%
30%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 nov. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
IRV
2 - 2
DYJ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 0
ALM
50%
27%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2011 |
BUC
4 - 1
DYJ
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 2
GBR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |