Análisis Deportivo Merlo vs Excursionistas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2006 |
MER
3 - 2
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2006 |
SAC
3 - 2
MER
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2006 |
MER
2 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2006 |
SMG
0 - 3
MER
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 feb. 2006 |
MER
3 - 0
DAL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 3
DAL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2006 |
COL
0 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 feb. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 0
SMA
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2006 |
SAC
1 - 2
EXC
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2006 |
EXC
4 - 3
LAM
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |